`Missing Heat` will Eventually Show Itself

Very interesting article was posted not too long ago on Physorg. com a recent study ‘missing’ heat energy. The study was led by NCAR’s Kevin Trenberth.

Roughly half of the world’s heat energy that has built up over recent years is unaccounted for, according to the study, which was funded by the National Science Foundation, NCAR’s sponsor, and by NASA.

This ‘missing’ heat energy is likely up in the deep oceans or elsewhere in the climate system on earth that current observational tools such as satellite sensors and ocean floats are unable to track.

Excerpts from the Physorg. com article. . . . .

Satellite instruments indicate that greenhouse gases are continuing to trap more , or heat, but since 2003 have unable to determine where much of that heat is going.

Either the satellite observations are incorrect, says Trenberth, or, more likely, large amounts of heat are penetrating to regions that are not adequately measured, such as the deepest parts of the oceans. Compounding the problem, Earth’s surface temperatures have largely leveled off in recent years. Yet melting glaciers and Arctic sea ice, along with rising sea levels, indicate that heat is continuing to have profound effects on the planet.

Tracking the growing amount of heat on Earth is far more complicated than measuring temperatures at the planet’s surface. The oceans absorb about 90 percent of the energy that is trapped by greenhouse gases. Additional amounts of heat go toward melting glaciers and sea ice, as well as warming the land and parts of the atmosphere. Only a tiny fraction warms the air at the planet’s surface.

Until 2003, the measured heat increase was consistent with computer model expectations. But a new set of ocean monitors since then has shown a steady decrease in the rate of oceanic heating, even as the satellite-measured imbalance between incoming and outgoing energy continues to grow.

Some of the missing heat appears to be going into the observed melting of ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica, as well as Arctic sea ice, the authors say. Some of the missing heat may be deep in the oceans.

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warming at its heart is driven by an imbalance of energy: more solar energy is entering the atmosphere than leaving it,” says NCAR scientist John Fasullo. “Our concern is that we aren’t able to entirely monitor or understand the imbalance. This reveals a glaring hole in our ability to observe the build-up of heat in our climate system. ”

“The heat will come back to haunt us sooner or later,” says NCAR scientist Kevin Trenberth, the lead author. “The reprieve we’ve had from warming temperatures in the last few years will not continue.

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Heads Up!

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